LC
Factor Donchian Rotation  ·  Factor Mood — 5-ETF
N=30 · shift(1) · pairwise ratio Donchian · latching signal · internal use only
7-ETF View
As of 15 Sep 2026
Updated 2026-09-15 18:23 UTC
Active Holding▶ LIVE
IVE
Value  ·  Factor leadership
Days In
13
Since
03 Sep 2026
Previous
DGRO
Switches
122
SPMO
$143.48
DGRO
$77.64
SPYG
$119.07
SPHQ
$83.43
IVE
$233.68
SPY
$757.86
Pairwise Donchian Signal StateN=30 · shift(1) · ratio breakout / latch
Pair
Current
Upper
Lower
Status / Direction
Vote
SPMO/DGRO
1.8479
15% of range
1.9559upper
1.8283lower
flip 61d ago
IN BAND
▼ last down
+1 DGRO
vote
SPMO/SPYG
1.2050
2% of range
1.2668upper
1.2038lower
flip 61d ago
IN BAND
▼ last down
+1 SPYG
vote
SPMO/SPHQ
1.7198
23% of range
1.7802upper
1.7013lower
flip 29d ago
IN BAND
▲ last up
+1 SPMO
vote
SPMO/IVE
0.6140
1% of range
0.6557upper
0.6137lower
flip 61d ago
IN BAND
▼ last down
+1 IVE
vote
DGRO/SPYG
0.6521
26% of range
0.6698upper
0.6459lower
flip 97d ago
IN BAND
▲ last up
+1 DGRO
vote
DGRO/SPHQ
0.9307
85% of range
0.9352upper
0.9045lower
flip 70d ago
IN BAND
▲ last up
+1 DGRO
vote
DGRO/IVE
0.3323
-4% of range
0.3374upper
0.3325lower
flip 12d ago
BELOW
▼ last down
+1 IVE
vote
SPYG/SPHQ
1.4272
90% of range
1.4315upper
1.3871lower
flip 43d ago
IN BAND
▲ last up
+1 SPYG
vote
SPYG/IVE
0.5096
38% of range
0.5218upper
0.5019lower
flip 81d ago
IN BAND
▼ last down
+1 IVE
vote
SPHQ/IVE
0.3570
2% of range
0.3706upper
0.3567lower
flip 62d ago
IN BAND
▼ last down
+1 IVE
vote
Vote Tally  ·  max 4 per factor · latching signal
IVE
Value
4
★★★★
DGRO
Div. Growth
3
★★★·
SPYG
Growth
2
★★··
SPMO
Momentum
1
★···
SPHQ
Quality
0
····
Winner: IVE — Value (4/4 votes)  ·  Each ratio votes for the ETF breaking above its 30-day Donchian high (latches until broken down).
Performancevs SPY B&H
Since Inception
Ann. Return
+13.9%
SPY: +15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.75
SPY: 0.89
Max Drawdown
-35.5%
SPY: -33.7%
Calmar
0.39
SPY: 0.47
200d MA filter (toggle on chart): +11.6% ann · Sharpe 0.80 · MaxDD -22.6% · now IVE · 113 switches
Total Returns
Strategy
+294.8%
since inception
SPY B&H
+368.2%
since inception
Volatility
18.5%
annualised
Regime Allocation
SPMO
DGRO
SPYG
IVE
SPMO 35%
DGRO 15%
SPYG 23%
SPHQ 5%
IVE 22%
Signal Pipeline N=30 · Shift=1 · Pairwise ratio Donchian · Latching · No confirmation window
⚠ MONITORING
IVE leads by 1 vote  ·  DGRO (3/4) within striking range
Hold IVE · reassess on any pair flip
Current Regime
IVE
Value  ·  4/4 votes  ·  13 days
since 03 Sep 2026  ·  prev: DGRO
Vote Spread
IVE
4
DGRO
3
SPYG
2
SPMO
1
SPHQ
0
Cumulative Returns — Full Period (rebased 100) Rotation vs Factors vs SPY B&H
SPMO/DGRO IN BAND
+1 DGRO
SPMO/SPYG IN BAND
+1 SPYG
SPMO/SPHQ IN BAND
+1 SPMO
SPMO/IVE IN BAND
+1 IVE
DGRO/SPYG IN BAND
+1 DGRO
DGRO/SPHQ IN BAND
+1 DGRO
DGRO/IVE BELOW
+1 IVE
SPYG/SPHQ IN BAND
+1 SPYG
SPYG/IVE IN BAND
+1 IVE
SPHQ/IVE IN BAND
+1 IVE
Annual ReturnsStrategy vs SPY
Individual Factor Performance (Buy & Hold)
FactorAnn RetSharpeMax DDTotal Ret
SPMO Momentum +19.7% 0.96 -30.9% +566.2%
DGRO Div. Growth +13.9% 0.85 -35.1% +295.2%
SPYG Growth +18.0% 0.88 -32.7% +471.7%
SPHQ Quality +14.7% 0.83 -31.6% +324.4%
IVE Value +12.6% 0.75 -37.0% +248.6%
Switch Log (last 20)Total: 122 switches
DateFrom → To
03 Sep 2026 DGRO IVE
16 Jul 2026 SPMO DGRO
08 Apr 2026 DGRO SPMO
30 Mar 2026 SPHQ DGRO
27 Feb 2026 DGRO SPHQ
30 Jan 2026 SPHQ DGRO
06 Jan 2026 IVE SPHQ
13 Nov 2025 SPYG IVE
28 Oct 2025 IVE SPYG
22 Oct 2025 SPYG IVE
15 Sep 2025 SPMO SPYG
01 May 2025 SPHQ SPMO
24 Apr 2025 DGRO SPHQ
04 Apr 2025 IVE DGRO
25 Mar 2025 DGRO IVE
06 Mar 2025 SPHQ DGRO
25 Feb 2025 SPMO SPHQ
16 Jan 2025 SPYG SPMO
09 Dec 2024 SPMO SPYG
08 Oct 2024 DGRO SPMO